Izarra vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
46.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Izarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
ARE
1 - 1
IZA
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
IZA
2 - 0
RUN
37%
28%
35%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
RSO
2 - 0
IZA
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
UDL
5 - 2
IZA
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
IZA
1 - 2
TUD
25%
27%
48%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
GER
3 - 1
PEÑ
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
RAC
1 - 0
GER
63%
23%
15%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
GER
3 - 5
SPB
36%
28%
37%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
GER
1 - 1
MIR
18%
26%
57%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
LEI
1 - 3
GER
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |