Ituzaingó vs Deportivo Morón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
51.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituzaingó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2002 |
ARQ
3 - 1
ITU
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2002 |
ITU
2 - 1
ITA
19%
24%
57%
|
28 | 56 | 28 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
STM
2 - 2
ITU
75%
17%
8%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2002 |
ITU
1 - 0
ATL
25%
26%
50%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | +4 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
ALB
3 - 0
ITU
84%
12%
5%
|
25 | 52 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2002 |
MOR
1 - 1
ARR
58%
24%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2002 |
SAR
3 - 2
MOR
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2002 |
BRO
2 - 2
MOR
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
MOR
0 - 0
ALM
37%
26%
36%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2002 |
CAM
1 - 2
MOR
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |