Ituano vs Santo André analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
9.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
MIR
1 - 0
ITU
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 3
ITU
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ITU
0 - 3
AGU
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
INT
1 - 0
ITU
15%
23%
62%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
ITU
1 - 3
PAL
15%
23%
63%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAN
11%
22%
67%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
INT
0 - 1
SAN
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
AGU
32%
27%
41%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAO
8%
20%
72%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 1
SAN
83%
12%
5%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | +1 |