Italien vs Urania Genève Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
46.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
5º
14º
14º
39
1º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
71.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 28 |
11º
|
26% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 26 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
COL
3 - 1
ITA
55%
20%
25%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 2
SBC
41%
20%
39%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PFO
2 - 1
ITA
78%
13%
9%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 3
FOO
91%
7%
3%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
PLO
2 - 2
ITA
42%
21%
37%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Urania Genève Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
UGS
3 - 1
FOO
87%
9%
4%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
PLO
1 - 2
UGS
35%
21%
44%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
UGS
1 - 1
LAN
19%
20%
62%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
YVE
4 - 0
UGS
62%
19%
20%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
UGS
5 - 1
ODG
32%
23%
45%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +2 |