Italy U19s vs Latvia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
SVK
1 - 2
ITA
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2002 |
ITA
3 - 1
LTU
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
ITA
4 - 1
ARM
75%
16%
10%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
ITA
4 - 0
MDA
68%
18%
14%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2001 |
PRT
2 - 0
ITA
45%
24%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Latvia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2002 |
LVA
2 - 0
TUR
19%
23%
58%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
LVA
0 - 4
NLD
16%
22%
62%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2002 |
FIN
1 - 1
LVA
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2001 |
LVA
0 - 2
AUT
24%
24%
52%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2001 |
HRV
4 - 1
LVA
71%
17%
12%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |