Italy U23s vs South Korea U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U23s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2008 |
HND
0 - 3
ITA
33%
24%
43%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
ITA
1 - 0
IRA
59%
21%
20%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
ITA
0 - 3
ARG
30%
24%
46%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
MAL
0 - 1
ITA
22%
23%
55%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
PRY
1 - 0
ITA
34%
24%
42%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
South Korea U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2008 |
KOR
1 - 1
CMR
64%
20%
16%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
KOR
2 - 1
UZB
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2006 |
KOR
0 - 1
IRA
53%
22%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2006 |
IRA
1 - 0
KOR
40%
24%
36%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
KOR
3 - 0
PRK
78%
14%
8%
|
59 | 17 | 42 | 0 |