Italy U21 vs Czech Republic U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2006 |
ESP
1 - 2
ITA
49%
27%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2006 |
ITA
0 - 0
ESP
45%
28%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2006 |
ITA
1 - 0
AUT
78%
15%
6%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
ISL
0 - 1
ITA
16%
24%
60%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2006 |
NLD
1 - 0
ITA
21%
24%
55%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Czech Republic U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2006 |
BIH
1 - 1
CZE
19%
22%
60%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2006 |
CZE
2 - 1
BIH
80%
13%
7%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
CZE
2 - 1
BLR
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
CYP
0 - 2
CZE
15%
21%
64%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2005 |
DEU
1 - 0
CZE
60%
21%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |