Italy U21 vs Luxembourg U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.5%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
11%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
16.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
18.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
19.8%
10%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
4%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
10%
2.5%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2021 |
PRT
5 - 3
ITA
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
ITA
4 - 0
SVN
71%
18%
10%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 0
ITA
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
CZE
1 - 1
ITA
28%
25%
47%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
ITA
4 - 1
SWE
58%
23%
20%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Luxembourg U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
SWE
6 - 0
LUX
90%
8%
2%
|
31 | 69 | 38 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
LUX
1 - 2
MNE
20%
20%
60%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
LUX
1 - 2
IRL
14%
20%
67%
|
31 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
LUX
0 - 4
ITA
5%
13%
82%
|
32 | 77 | 45 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
LUX
0 - 2
ISL
16%
21%
63%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | 0 |