Italy U21 vs Iceland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.2%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
7%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
ARM
0 - 1
ITA
6%
13%
81%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
IRL
0 - 0
ITA
13%
20%
67%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
ITA
5 - 0
LUX
84%
13%
3%
|
78 | 30 | 48 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
ITA
4 - 0
MDA
81%
15%
4%
|
77 | 41 | 36 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
BEL
1 - 3
ITA
27%
24%
49%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
ISL
1 - 0
IRL
44%
24%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
SWE
5 - 0
ISL
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2019 |
ISL
6 - 1
ARM
67%
19%
14%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
ISL
3 - 0
LUX
81%
13%
6%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
DNK
1 - 2
ISL
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +2 |