Italy U21 vs Spain U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.6%
17.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1980 |
ITA
0 - 0
SUN
88%
8%
4%
|
63 | 8 | 55 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1980 |
SUN
3 - 1
ITA
25%
27%
48%
|
63 | 6 | 57 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1978 |
ESP
0 - 1
ITA
53%
21%
26%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
ITA
0 - 0
ENG
88%
8%
4%
|
62 | 7 | 55 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1978 |
ENG
2 - 1
ITA
22%
27%
51%
|
62 | 6 | 56 | 0 |
Matches
Spain U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1978 |
ESP
0 - 1
ITA
53%
21%
26%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1978 |
ESP
1 - 1
FRA
54%
20%
26%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1960 |
FRA
1 - 0
ESP
61%
18%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
ITA
3 - 0
ESP
59%
18%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
ESP
0 - 0
ITA
60%
18%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |