Italy U21 vs Slovenia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
8.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
HUN
0 - 0
ITA
12%
20%
68%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2015 |
ENG
1 - 3
ITA
46%
23%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 0
PRT
45%
25%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 2
SWE
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 1
SRB
76%
16%
9%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Slovenia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
SVN
3 - 0
LTU
76%
17%
8%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2015 |
SVN
4 - 0
AND
78%
15%
7%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2015 |
UKR
1 - 1
SVN
64%
22%
15%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2015 |
SVN
3 - 0
GRC
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2015 |
SVN
1 - 1
MKD
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |