Italy U20 vs Germany U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
35%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 1
DEU
40%
26%
35%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
CHE
0 - 1
ITA
23%
22%
55%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
3 - 0
CHE
63%
20%
17%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
ITA
6 - 0
QAT
82%
13%
6%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 1
FRA
38%
25%
37%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Germany U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
MLI
1 - 1
DEU
14%
20%
67%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
DEU
1 - 0
NGA
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
HND
1 - 5
DEU
23%
23%
54%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2015 |
DEU
3 - 0
UZB
76%
16%
8%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2015 |
DEU
8 - 1
FIJ
87%
10%
3%
|
69 | 27 | 42 | 0 |