Itabuna vs Fluminense de Feira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ANA
3 - 0
ITA
36%
29%
35%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ITA
1 - 0
ANA
42%
29%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
REA
3 - 2
ITA
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
ITA
0 - 0
IFC
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
AUD
0 - 1
ITA
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FLU
1 - 1
PBA
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
PBA
2 - 1
FLU
19%
20%
61%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | -2 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
FLU
2 - 0
ADL
5%
11%
84%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | +2 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
COL
0 - 0
FLU
31%
28%
41%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
FLU
1 - 0
PBA
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |