Itabuna vs Doce Mel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
5.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 0
ITA
18%
20%
62%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
JAC
1 - 1
ITA
24%
23%
53%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 2
SDJ
67%
18%
14%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 1
ITA
9%
15%
75%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 4
ITA
51%
23%
26%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Doce Mel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ADA
1 - 2
SDJ
12%
17%
71%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 0
ADA
50%
23%
28%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
VIT
3 - 0
ADA
80%
14%
6%
|
32 | 64 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ADA
1 - 1
BAH
11%
17%
71%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
JEC
1 - 0
ADA
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |