Itabirito vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.5%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
17.6%
75.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
17.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
17.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
23.4%
0-3
12.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabirito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
UBE
1 - 2
IFC
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
POA
2 - 0
IFC
55%
22%
23%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
IFC
0 - 0
AMF
5%
13%
82%
|
41 | 85 | 44 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
IFC
0 - 2
VIL
30%
25%
46%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
DEM
1 - 3
IFC
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
ATM
1 - 1
TOM
77%
16%
8%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
ATH
0 - 2
ATM
11%
21%
68%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ATM
0 - 2
CRZ
59%
23%
18%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ATM
4 - 0
DEM
85%
12%
4%
|
87 | 55 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
PAT
2 - 1
ATM
8%
22%
70%
|
87 | 55 | 32 | 0 |