Itabaiana vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
ITA
2 - 0
SOC
69%
21%
10%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
LAG
1 - 2
ITA
22%
26%
52%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 0
DOR
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
NAU
0 - 0
ITA
71%
19%
11%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 0
NAU
18%
24%
58%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
SER
3 - 0
BOC
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
SER
2 - 1
SOC
76%
15%
9%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
AFP
0 - 3
SER
23%
21%
56%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
SER
2 - 0
JEC
45%
25%
31%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +3 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
ARN
3 - 2
SER
73%
17%
10%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |