NK Istra 1961 vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
67.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
4º
10º
5º
71
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Istra 1961
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2022 |
IST
1 - 0
OPA
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
FCK
2 - 0
IST
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
IST
3 - 1
SLA
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
HKS
3 - 1
IST
76%
17%
7%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
IST
1 - 2
HNS
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
DZG
0 - 0
HKS
43%
24%
33%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 1
HKS
18%
23%
59%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
HKS
0 - 3
GEN
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
HKS
2 - 2
HSV
60%
20%
19%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
CLU
2 - 0
HKS
19%
24%
57%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |