Ismaily vs Ceramica Cleopatra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
36.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
7º
16º
13º
34
6º
16º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 64 |
1º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 58 |
2º
|
61% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 50 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 49 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 46 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
|
7º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 45 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 45 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 44 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 43 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 42 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 38 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
|
13º
|
27 | 32 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 31 |
14º
|
36.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 29 |
15º
|
51.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 26 |
16º
|
50.5% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 24 |
17º
|
50% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 19 |
18º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 11.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 87% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ismaily
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
ENP
1 - 0
ISM
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
ISM
1 - 3
CCF
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2024 |
ELD
1 - 0
ISM
26%
26%
49%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 1
ISM
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ENP
1 - 0
ISM
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ceramica Cleopatra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 1
CCF
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
CCF
2 - 0
SMO
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
CCF
1 - 1
ELD
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
ISM
1 - 3
CCF
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
CCF
2 - 0
ENP
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |