Irapuato vs Reboceros de la Piedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
IRA
2 - 1
SAG
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2009 |
IRA
2 - 3
IND
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
IRA
0 - 2
CSL
67%
21%
12%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
GUE
1 - 0
IRA
28%
27%
45%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
IRA
1 - 1
ATL
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Reboceros de la Piedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
SAG
2 - 0
REB
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
REB
1 - 1
IND
51%
25%
25%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
CSL
1 - 1
REB
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
REB
1 - 1
GUE
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
ATL
0 - 1
REB
44%
27%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |