Ipswich Town vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipswich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
BRI
0 - 3
IPS
45%
26%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
LEI
4 - 2
IPS
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
IPS
2 - 1
PNE
62%
22%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
SWA
4 - 1
IPS
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
IPS
1 - 5
NOR
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
NOR
0 - 0
STA
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 2
NOR
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 0
STE
27%
27%
46%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
STO
2 - 2
NOR
35%
24%
41%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 2
ROT
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |