Ipatinga FC vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipatinga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
BAH
3 - 1
IFC
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
IFC
1 - 2
PAR
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
ICA
2 - 0
IFC
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
IFC
0 - 0
POR
35%
27%
39%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
DUQ
1 - 1
IFC
42%
26%
33%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 0
ARN
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
FFL
1 - 0
SAO
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 2
VIL
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
DUQ
1 - 0
SAO
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
AMF
2 - 0
SAO
35%
28%
37%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |