Interporto vs Nova Conquista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
10.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Interporto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
GUR
0 - 4
INT
49%
25%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
INT
0 - 1
RVV
11%
17%
73%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
INT
2 - 0
CAP
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
TMI
3 - 1
INT
42%
23%
34%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
TOC
0 - 1
INT
41%
25%
33%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nova Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
NCO
1 - 1
TMI
17%
18%
65%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
NCO
2 - 2
PAL
13%
17%
70%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
NCO
0 - 3
TOC
18%
19%
63%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 1
NCO
66%
18%
16%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
GUR
1 - 3
NCO
76%
15%
9%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | +2 |