Inter vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
15%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
5.3%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1979 |
BOL
1 - 3
INT
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
INT
1 - 2
FIO
58%
25%
17%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1979 |
INT
1 - 0
JUV
44%
29%
27%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1979 |
AVE
1 - 0
INT
21%
30%
49%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
INT
1 - 2
ROM
67%
21%
12%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1979 |
SPA
1 - 0
SSS
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
ATL
1 - 1
SPA
68%
22%
11%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1979 |
SPA
0 - 1
GEN
52%
27%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
TAR
1 - 0
SPA
46%
32%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
SPA
3 - 2
NOC
72%
17%
11%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |