Coppa Italia . Final
Global 4-2
Inter vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2006 |
INT
1 - 1
SIE
76%
16%
8%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
ROM
1 - 1
INT
40%
27%
33%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
EMP
1 - 0
INT
16%
25%
60%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
INT
4 - 0
REG
77%
16%
7%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2006 |
ACM
1 - 0
INT
58%
23%
20%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2006 |
ROM
1 - 0
TRE
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
ROM
1 - 1
INT
40%
27%
33%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
CHI
4 - 4
ROM
29%
27%
44%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
ROM
0 - 0
SAM
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
PAL
3 - 3
ROM
34%
26%
40%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |