Inter vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
5.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
SEV
3 - 2
INT
43%
25%
32%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2020 |
INT
5 - 0
SHA
53%
23%
24%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2020 |
INT
2 - 1
LEV
49%
23%
28%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
INT
2 - 0
GET
62%
22%
16%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
ATL
0 - 2
INT
51%
23%
26%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
SCH
1 - 2
LUG
9%
16%
75%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
LUG
5 - 1
CHI
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
BEL
1 - 1
LUG
13%
20%
67%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
ACS
0 - 9
LUG
2%
6%
92%
|
74 | 21 | 53 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2020 |
NEX
0 - 1
LUG
27%
25%
49%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |