Europa League . 1/32
Global 1-2
Inter vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
NAP
2 - 1
INT
46%
26%
28%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
INT
0 - 0
PIA
69%
20%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1995 |
LUG
1 - 1
INT
29%
29%
43%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
PAR
2 - 1
INT
49%
26%
26%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1995 |
VNZ
0 - 1
INT
25%
28%
47%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1995 |
SER
2 - 3
LUG
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
LUG
1 - 1
ZUR
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1995 |
LUG
1 - 1
INT
29%
29%
43%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
FCL
1 - 1
LUG
42%
28%
30%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1995 |
LUG
1 - 3
SIO
41%
27%
33%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |