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Brazilian Serie A. Matchday 26

Internacional vs América Mineiro analysis

Internacional América Mineiro
75 ELO 63
-2% Tilt 26%
129º General ELO ranking 529º
Country ELO ranking 32º
ELO win probability
56.8%
Internacional
21.9%
Draw
21.3%
América Mineiro

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
Internacional
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.3%
Win probability
América Mineiro
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Internacional
-5%
-11%
América Mineiro

Basic stats

49
51
POS
10
10
SOT
4
6
COR
3
1
GF
1
3
GC
23
23
FRK
75
63
ELO
2
1.1
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Internacional
Their league position
América Mineiro
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
15º
32
10º
20º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Atl. Mineiro
56
78
51%
Flamengo
46
75
45%
Fortaleza EC
45
61
18%
Palmeiras
43
65
20%
RB Bragantino
42
64
13%
Corinthians
40
56
9%
Internacional
39
57
9%
Fluminense
36
52
8%
Cuiabá
35
45
13º
7%
Athletico Paranaense
10º
34
51
7%
Atlético GO
11º
34
47
10º
6%
América Mineiro
12º
32
45
15º
7%
Ceará
13º
31
46
12º
7%
São Paulo
14º
31
45
14º
8%
Santos FC
15º
29
44
16º
7%
Bahía
16º
28
46
11º
7%
EC Juventude
17º
28
39
18º
9%
Sport Recife
18º
27
35
19º
11%
Grêmio
19º
26
40
17º
12%
Chapecoense
20º
13
27
20º
87%
Expected probabilities
Internacional
América Mineiro
Champion
1% 0%
Copa Libertadores
23% 2%
Copa Libertadores knockout stages
20% 7%
South American Liguilla
34% 38%
Mid-table
16% 30%
Relegation
6% 23%

ELO progression

Internacional
SCI
América Mineiro
AMF
Bahía
BAH
Palmeiras
PAL
Ceará
CEA
RB Bragantino
BRA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Internacional
Internacional
1%
X%
2%
ELO SCI ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Oct. 2021
SCI
Internacional
5 - 2
Chapecoense
CHA
55%
25%
20%
2157 1943 214 +13
07 Oct. 2021
CEA
Ceará
0 - 0
Internacional
SCI
39%
28%
33%
2158 1808 -350 -2
03 Oct. 2021
ATM
Atl. Mineiro
1 - 0
Internacional
SCI
57%
23%
20%
2164 2515 351 -6
26 Sep. 2021
SCI
Internacional
2 - 0
Bahía
BAH
58%
24%
19%
2154 1834 320 +10
19 Sep. 2021
SCI
Internacional
1 - 0
Fortaleza EC
FOR
57%
23%
20%
2148 1713 435 +6

Matches

América Mineiro
América Mineiro
1%
X%
2%
ELO AMF ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Oct. 2021
JUV
EC Juventude
1 - 1
América Mineiro
AMF
39%
28%
33%
1571 1210 -361 -2
07 Oct. 2021
AMF
América Mineiro
2 - 1
Palmeiras
PAL
22%
24%
54%
1555 2626 -1071 +16
02 Oct. 2021
CUI
Cuiabá
0 - 2
América Mineiro
AMF
39%
28%
34%
1542 1274 -268 +13
26 Sep. 2021
AMF
América Mineiro
1 - 1
Flamengo
FLA
24%
25%
52%
1535 2801 -1266 +7
23 Sep. 2021
SAO
São Paulo
0 - 0
América Mineiro
AMF
71%
17%
11%
1503 2335 832 0