Paulista A3 Etapas Finales. Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Inter de Limeira vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter de Limeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
INT
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 2
INT
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
INT
2 - 1
DES
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
DES
1 - 1
INT
28%
24%
48%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
ATI
0 - 0
INT
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
INT
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
TAB
59%
23%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
TAB
1 - 1
MON
35%
25%
40%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
MON
2 - 2
NOR
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
TAB
4 - 2
MON
31%
26%
44%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |