Inter de Limeira vs Independente SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter de Limeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
INT
29%
25%
46%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
INT
4 - 1
FLA
11%
20%
69%
|
48 | 82 | 34 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
INT
1 - 1
FRA
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
OSV
0 - 3
INT
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
TAU
1 - 0
INT
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
IND
1 - 2
ITA
47%
24%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 3
IND
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
FLA
4 - 0
IND
86%
11%
3%
|
48 | 82 | 34 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
IND
3 - 1
SAO
41%
24%
35%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |