Instituto vs Tigre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
DFR
4 - 1
INS
35%
26%
40%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2001 |
INS
3 - 2
DYJ
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
QUI
2 - 0
INS
43%
27%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2001 |
INS
2 - 1
GOD
52%
23%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2001 |
SMA
2 - 1
INS
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Tigre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
TIG
0 - 0
GIM
67%
20%
14%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
HUR
2 - 2
TIG
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
TIG
1 - 2
VIL
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2001 |
RAF
3 - 2
TIG
41%
25%
34%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
TIG
2 - 2
ATT
30%
27%
44%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |