Institute vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
54.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
LIN
1 - 0
INS
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
INS
1 - 2
GLE
20%
24%
57%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
CRU
1 - 0
INS
58%
22%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
INS
0 - 0
COL
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
INS
1 - 2
CLI
26%
27%
47%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
POR
2 - 1
DON
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
DUN
0 - 3
POR
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
POR
0 - 1
LIS
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
CLI
4 - 3
POR
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
LAR
1 - 2
POR
20%
24%
56%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |