Institute vs Newry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2007 |
INS
2 - 2
COL
44%
24%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
INS
2 - 0
BAN
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
INS
2 - 0
POR
68%
20%
13%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
HAR
1 - 3
INS
26%
25%
49%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
INS
2 - 1
TOB
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
POR
0 - 0
NEW
68%
19%
14%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
BAL
1 - 1
NEW
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
POR
2 - 0
NEW
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
NEW
2 - 3
ARC
60%
23%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2007 |
NEW
0 - 4
LIN
27%
25%
48%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |