Institute vs Newry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
LIS
1 - 1
INS
50%
24%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
INS
2 - 1
CRU
63%
21%
17%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
GLE
0 - 2
INS
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2003 |
INS
2 - 0
LIN
28%
24%
47%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +2 |
| 03 Jan. 2003 |
INS
3 - 1
OMA
35%
25%
41%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
CLI
1 - 1
NEW
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2003 |
NEW
0 - 1
OMA
29%
26%
46%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2003 |
NEW
0 - 3
POR
20%
24%
56%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
GLE
2 - 1
NEW
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
NEW
0 - 0
COL
21%
24%
55%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |