Institute vs Loughgall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
37.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
NEY
2 - 0
INS
24%
24%
52%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
INS
1 - 1
LIM
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 2
INS
22%
24%
54%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
INS
3 - 1
BAN
17%
22%
61%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
BAL
3 - 3
INS
51%
23%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
LOU
0 - 1
POR
32%
25%
43%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
LOU
1 - 3
COL
28%
24%
48%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 1
LOU
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
LOU
2 - 3
BAL
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
LOU
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |