Ingolstadt 04 II vs Erlangen-Bruck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2009 |
ING
5 - 1
MEM
47%
26%
28%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
SEL
1 - 2
ING
32%
26%
42%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
ING
1 - 1
TSG
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
BAY
0 - 3
ING
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
BAY
1 - 1
ING
60%
22%
18%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Erlangen-Bruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2009 |
ERB
1 - 1
MEM
42%
26%
32%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
BUC
1 - 1
ERB
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
ERB
2 - 2
FRO
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
WUR
1 - 1
ERB
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
ERB
3 - 0
ISM
43%
24%
34%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |