England U19 vs Wales U19s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
ENG
2 - 0
LUX
85%
11%
4%
|
68 | 33 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
ENG
1 - 2
ITA
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2016 |
ENG
2 - 1
HRV
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2016 |
NLD
1 - 2
ENG
34%
25%
41%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 2
ENG
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Wales U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
WLS
0 - 2
GRC
21%
22%
57%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
WLS
2 - 3
ALB
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
AUT
2 - 0
WLS
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
GEO
0 - 3
WLS
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2014 |
WLS
2 - 1
ALB
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |