India vs Afghanistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
13.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
India
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
IND
3 - 0
IDN
70%
16%
14%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1948 |
FRA
2 - 1
IND
72%
15%
13%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1938 |
AUS
3 - 1
IND
75%
14%
12%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1938 |
AUS
5 - 4
IND
73%
15%
12%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1938 |
AUS
1 - 4
IND
76%
14%
11%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Afghanistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1950 |
IRN
4 - 0
AFG
77%
14%
10%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1948 |
LUX
6 - 0
AFG
61%
18%
21%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -2 |