Independiente vs Gimnasia La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
26.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
EST
2 - 1
IND
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
IND
0 - 1
SLO
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
LAN
2 - 4
IND
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
CEN
2 - 2
IND
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
IND
2 - 1
BAN
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnasia La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2006 |
FLU
1 - 1
GLP
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
GLP
0 - 1
CEN
58%
23%
20%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
BAN
0 - 0
GLP
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
BEL
1 - 0
GLP
22%
28%
50%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
GLP
3 - 2
COL
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |