Independiente vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
21.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
VEL
0 - 2
IND
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
IND
0 - 2
ARS
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
COL
1 - 1
IND
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2006 |
IND
1 - 2
BAN
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
NOB
2 - 0
IND
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2006 |
EST
2 - 1
BOL
58%
21%
22%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
EST
0 - 4
GIM
64%
21%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
SPC
2 - 2
EST
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
EST
1 - 1
VEL
39%
27%
35%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2006 |
ARS
1 - 2
EST
51%
27%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |