Independiente vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
22.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
EST
0 - 0
IND
32%
29%
39%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 1
IND
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
HUR
1 - 3
IND
28%
26%
46%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
BAH
2 - 2
IND
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
IND
0 - 1
ATT
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 1
BAH
34%
26%
40%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
BAH
3 - 0
BAH
10%
21%
69%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 0
BAH
86%
11%
3%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
CEA
1 - 2
BAH
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
JAC
0 - 1
BAH
11%
21%
68%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | 0 |