Independiente vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
39.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
GOD
1 - 1
IND
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
IND
1 - 1
HUR
45%
28%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
LAN
1 - 1
IND
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
IND
0 - 1
RIV
28%
26%
47%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
COL
0 - 3
IND
45%
27%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
VEL
1 - 1
SAR
69%
20%
11%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
ALD
3 - 2
VEL
22%
27%
52%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
VEL
1 - 1
GLP
52%
26%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
TAL
0 - 1
VEL
36%
28%
36%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
CAU
2 - 1
VEL
34%
28%
38%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |