Independiente vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
39.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
VEL
3 - 1
IND
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
RAC
3 - 1
IND
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
IND
2 - 0
GLP
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
BOC
2 - 1
IND
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
IND
1 - 1
OLI
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
CEN
2 - 1
GLP
60%
24%
17%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
BOC
4 - 1
CEN
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
CEN
1 - 0
OLI
63%
23%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
SLO
1 - 3
CEN
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
CEN
3 - 3
LAN
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |