Independente SE vs Estanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
56.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independente SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
OSE
4 - 0
INS
59%
21%
21%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
INS
1 - 5
BOQ
39%
23%
38%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
DOR
3 - 0
INS
59%
22%
20%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
BOQ
3 - 1
INS
41%
23%
36%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
INS
1 - 2
REC
70%
17%
13%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Estanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
EST
2 - 1
DOR
22%
22%
56%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
OSE
2 - 0
EST
51%
24%
25%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
EST
2 - 1
BOQ
45%
23%
32%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
OSE
3 - 2
EST
49%
25%
26%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
EST
3 - 1
SDJ
57%
21%
22%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |