Independiente PA vs Comercial PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
39.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2011 |
TDC
2 - 1
IND
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
REM
1 - 0
IND
68%
18%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
IND
2 - 0
REC
47%
23%
30%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
TUN
1 - 0
IND
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
IND
2 - 1
AGU
29%
24%
47%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Comercial PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
CAC
1 - 1
4DE
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
CAC
2 - 1
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 2
CAC
22%
23%
55%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
CAC
0 - 0
PIC
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
CAC
0 - 1
RIV
56%
24%
21%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |