Clausura Playoffs . Final
Global 2-3
Independiente Medellín vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 1
IND
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
IND
1 - 1
TOL
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 2
IND
47%
25%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2014 |
IND
2 - 1
AGU
56%
24%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
TOL
1 - 2
IND
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 1
SFE
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SFE
0 - 1
ONC
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SFE
0 - 0
HUI
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
HUI
3 - 3
SFE
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
ONC
0 - 1
SFE
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |