Copa Colombia . 1/16
Global 4-2
Independiente Medellín vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 0
IND
40%
27%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
IND
1 - 1
AGU
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ONC
2 - 0
IND
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
IND
2 - 2
ALI
78%
16%
7%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
PER
1 - 0
IND
19%
26%
55%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
JAG
1 - 1
ONC
27%
27%
46%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
ONC
1 - 0
HUI
61%
24%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
EQU
0 - 1
ONC
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
SFE
4 - 1
ONC
50%
27%
24%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ONC
2 - 0
IND
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |