Independiente Medellín vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
IND
49%
26%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
IND
0 - 1
AGU
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 0
IND
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
IND
5 - 0
CAR
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 2
IND
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
MIL
1 - 0
CUC
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
PAL
3 - 1
MIL
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MIL
2 - 0
JUN
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
MIL
0 - 1
CHI
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
RMA
8 - 0
MIL
94%
5%
1%
|
79 | 97 | 18 | 0 |