Independiente Medellín vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
18.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
PER
1 - 1
IND
29%
28%
42%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
IND
1 - 0
MIL
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
AME
1 - 3
IND
39%
28%
34%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
AME
2 - 1
IND
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
IND
2 - 1
AME
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
ENV
0 - 0
BUC
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
ENV
1 - 1
ONC
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
COR
1 - 1
ENV
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
ENV
1 - 1
EQU
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 2
ENV
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |