Independiente Medellín vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
IND
2 - 2
QUI
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
SFC
0 - 2
IND
25%
26%
50%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2012 |
JUN
1 - 0
IND
63%
21%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CUC
1 - 2
IND
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 0
IND
33%
26%
41%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2012 |
TOL
0 - 1
ENV
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
ENV
1 - 1
AGU
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2012 |
ENV
1 - 1
MIL
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
ENV
68%
19%
14%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
CHI
4 - 1
ENV
52%
25%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |