Independiente Medellín vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
30.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
AME
1 - 2
IND
42%
28%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
IND
2 - 2
PAS
56%
23%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
AGU
0 - 2
IND
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
IND
1 - 1
EQU
56%
24%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
ENV
1 - 1
IND
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 1
JAG
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
MIL
1 - 2
NAC
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 0
GUA
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
JUN
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 2
NAC
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |